PETER OBI WILL WIN THE 2027 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. HERE'S WHY
PETER OBI WILL WIN THE 2027 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. HERE'S WHY:
In the 2023 presidential election, according to INEC:
- Bola Tinubu (APC) garnered 8,794,726 votes.
- Atiku Abubakar (PDP) received 6,984,520 votes.
- Peter Obi (LP) polled 6,101,533 votes.
- Rabiu Kwankwaso (NNPP) received 1,496,687 votes.
Out of these votes:
Tinubu won the following 12 states:
Ekiti, Ogun, Oyo, Ondo, Kwara, Kogi, Niger, Benue, Jigawa, Zamfara, Borno, and Rivers.
Atiku won the following 12 states:
Osun, Adamawa, Taraba, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe, Katsina, Kaduna, Sokoto, Kebbi, Bayelsa, and Akwa Ibom.
Obi won the following 11 states plus the Federal Capital Territory (FCT):
Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu, Imo, Cross River, Delta, Edo, Lagos, Nasarawa, Plateau, and the FCT (Abuja).
Kwankwaso won only 1 state:
Kano.
Why Peter Obi is positioned to win in 2027
Atiku's votes were split in the North due to the influence of figures like Nasir El-Rufai, Kashim Shettima, and other APC heavyweights.
In the South, Obi did not enjoy the full backing of Rivers State one of the region's strongest political blocs largely because of Nyesom Wike's interests and the PDP's dynamics (including Ifeanyi Okowa as Atiku's running mate).
Atiku could not dominate the North because of Kwankwaso's strong influence. Kano State alone can deliver well over 1 million votes, and Kwankwaso took the vast majority there.
Yet Peter Obi won key states across different zones without major political godfathers behind him. It was essentially him, the Nigerian youth (the Obidient movement), and widespread grassroots support. Despite this, he still secured victories in economically vital places like Lagos and Abuja, while amassing over 6 million votes nationwide.
This is why he will win the next election:
The leading contenders and influencers from the last election are now largely fragmented or realigned. If Peter Obi consolidates support especially with potential alliances he stands a strong chance. He already demonstrated the ability to cut across regions.
At least 70% of the Northern votes could swing heavily in his favour under the right coalition, while he could command a dominant share of Southern votes (building on the strong performance he achieved in 2023 in the Southeast, parts of the South-South, and urban centres).
That said, I implore the ADC to seriously consider Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso as potential flag bearer and running mate if they truly want to win the 2027 election and not merely participate.
