Crypto market analysis.

Bitcoin showed mixed activity heading into and through early September. As of September 1, BTC was trading at around $108,253, reflecting a 6.5% decline in August after a four-month winning streak. Technical support levels around $109K–$111K were breached, raising concerns about further downside toward $100,000.

By early September, BTC recovered toward $111,600, holding near a key support zone though overall sentiment remained cautious. On Labor Day (September 1), BTC traded flat—down just ~0.1%—at $108,721, hinting at a possible broader crypto correction .

Today (September 3, 2025)
BTC is trading in the low $110K to $111K range, showing relative resilience amid a volatile macro landscape. Price hovers above key support levels, but the risk of a dip to $100,000 remains “real,” especially if resistance holds firm .Broader dynamics, including ETF flows and U.S. employment data (NFP), are seen as potential short term market drivers.

UPCOMING WEEK.
Technical analysis suggests the current trading band $107K–$112K will remain in focus. ETF flows and labor data may determine which direction BTC breaks .

A rebound from support near $107,665 could lead to sideways or bullish development, whereas a break below $103,665 might trigger deeper declines toward $90K.

Seasonal patterns (Red September) typically favor weakness, but a weaker U.S. dollar or Fed rate cuts could catalyze a rebound toward previous highs near $124K .

End of September Prediction.
Several forecasts offer contrasting scenarios,

• CoinDCX/TradingView , If BTC reclaims resistance at $112K–$115K, it could rally to $125K–$128K by month-end. Failing this, BTC may remain between $104K–$115K, with intermittent pops toward $120K.
• CoinTelegraph, Suggests BTC could avoid a typical September dip and possibly target new highs, aided by a weaker
• Bitfinex analysts (BeInCrypto), Warn of a potential drop to $93K, though they see a possible rebound later in Q4 .

Investment Perspective , Should I Invest in BTC Today?
I will decide on following terms,

👉Seasonal weakness in September (Red September) and breached support levels add vulnerability .
👉ETF outflows and uncertain macro signals (NFP, Fed policy) may hinder upside momentum.
👉Institutional accumulation and renewed buying if BTC holds and rebounds above resistance zones.
👉Favorable currency and policy shifts might accelerate a recovery toward recent highs .
👉If I am bullishI will Consider a gradual, phased entry , perhaps via dollar cost averaging (DCA) to spread risk across price fluctuations.
👉If I am neutral or risk-averse, It may be wise to me to wait for confirmation holding above $112K or a strong bounce from $108K support.
👉If I am very conservative, I will Hold and observe how key drivers (ETF flows, macro data, technical breaks) unfold before increasing exposure.

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Caution: It is not any financial advice, Do your own research before any investment in any crypto by keeping it's votality and risks in mind.

Note: The article also published on my read.cash Wall.


Cheers,
Amjad