Navigating the STEEM Token

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2 Apr 2024
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Decoding STEEM: How Social Media Sentiment Drives Price and Strategy

Within the versatile world of cryptocurrency markets, learning about sophisticated changes of investor psychology will become crucial for making future predictions. In light of this, the STEEM token in its niche ecosystem with a lively online community is cognizable as an interesting case. The crypto landscape flourishes in its community. No point this is more evident than in STEEM, the coin that drives the Steem blockchain, a platform emerging around content creators’ incentivization. Whether in a positive or negative sense, the collective mindset of the STEEM community can be both a useful tool and a detriment to investors and traders alike. This write-up discusses how to harness social media sentiment analysis to gain a competitive edge in the fast-paced STEEM market and some step-by-step guidelines on how to do it.


Sentiment Analysis: Listening to the STEEM Community

Social media networks like Twitter and Reddit are the virtual town squares where cryptocurrency lovers exist and can easily interact with one another. From this platform, STEEM owners are debating project news, appearing with technical analysis, and generally showing their outlook on the token in the future. With the help of this immense data, we will understand the partly prevailing sentiment towards STEEM. There are many sentiment analysis tools (some are free and some are paid) provided by different service providers. These instruments utilize NLP (Natural Language Processing) solutions to apprehend social media posts in terms of the emotional mood. They are to be divided into positive, negative or neutral, and the sentiment is presented in measured values of the community.


Connecting Sentiment to Price Movements

Research has shown that it is most frequently the investor sentiment from social media text that affects investment decisions which to an extent determines market behaviors. A bibliometric analysis on social sentiment forecasting for both stocks as well as other assets like STEEM highlighted the growing significance behind social media sentiments for market movements which is evidence of its inherent importance in the financial market.

Source - Canva

The perspectives on websites such as Twitter and Reddit may provide a clue as to the ongoing market movement. STEEM - User-generated content on social media is becoming an integral part of analyzing the cryptocurrency market. Along with technical and trading indicators, these indicators indicate a deep perception of future market trends with tokens such as STEEM.


Emerging Trends: Preparing for the Changes of the Market

Social media is the ideal platform for developing new trends. Early detections of those trends via sentiment analysis will enable to draw valuable conclusions on potential market movements. For instance, a sudden influx of positive sentiment around a new Steem Dapp (Decentralized application) launch that is accompanied by a spike in its adoption rate is a good price sign for STEEM.
Just as a sudden surge of negative sentiment about a near security breach or a pointy contentious development decision might indicate a probable decline in price shortly. Though these trends may affect investors' strategies depending on whether they enter or exit their positions before the market reacts.


Sentiment + Technicals: A Very Potent Mix

Sentiment analysis, if it's right, cannot exist in a vacuum. In order to provide the full picture, it should be merged with traditional trend indicators like moving averages and Relative Strength Index.
Imagine this scenario (see graph below):

  1. Technical Indicators: STEEM's RSI sticks around 70, suggesting the token might be overbought.
  2. Social Media Sentiment: Nevertheless, positive feedback from the crowd is spurred by the approaching Steem ecosystem event.
  3. Graph: Integration Sentiment Analysis and Technical Indicators.


Source - Canva

[Graph with two lines, blue and green. The green line shows STEEM price, and the blue line displays RSI. The x-axis will be time and the y-axis will be price and RSI value. The diagram depicts a scenario where the RSI is right around 70, which could mean the asset is overbought, but the STEEM price is somehow upwards, thanks to a highly positive social media sentiment.]
Overall, the above picture appears to be alluding to the short run trend price increase despite the overbought RSI. Such data are very useful for investors as they help them make a good choice – they will decide between holding their STEEM coins or being risky and buy in advance of the event.

Source - Canva


The factors for a volatile market could be reflected on.

The Cryptocurrency market is subjected to its volatility. if we using sentiment analysis in such an environment, it's crucial to consider some factors:
Market Manipulation: Social media sentiment can be manipulated by influencers, organized groups, or bots in coordinated efforts. Watch out for sweeping, unexplained euphoria or doom in markets such as before major news releases.
Echo Chambers: The algorithms used in social media can cause a filtering bubble and a person will see mainly information aligning with what he or she already believes. In order to avoid the side effects arising from a one-sided dominant perspective, consider obtaining information from different sources of information.
Focus on Long-Term Trends: Resist getting sucked into the momentary froth. With sentiment analysis, we will be able to detect the longer-term patterns in the general community's opinion that tends to affect the future price trend greatly.

Source - TradingView


Strategic Advantage: Established monitoring is the real power.

STEEM currency market is a dynamic place, where information changes the world around us faster than ever. Social media platforms are being widely used to monitor trends, and sentiment analysis helps traders to improve their trading strategies. Here’s how:

  • Identify Early Opportunities: Identify new trends that provide signals you can use to formulate your own investment decision.
  • Gauge Community Confidence: Know the stand of STEEM community.
  • Refine Trading Strategies: Use sentiment data to reveal and buildup technical analysis-based trading strategies.
  • Make Informed Decisions: Don't put blindly trade. Sentiment analysis enriches your data set with many points for you to make rational decisions regarding investment.


Sentiment Analysis Today and Tomorrow

The sentiment analysis is a dynamic area that is undergoing constant development. With expanding technologies of machine learning and Natural Language Processing, the sentiment analysis tools will become further developed. This will thus provide a more colorful visualization of the social media data, significantly increasing its value to traders and investors.

Source - TradingView


Conclusion

Social media sentiment analysis is not a magic crystal ball, but it is a very special tool for the investors and traders in the STEEM market. Through the integration of Smart Steem with traditional technical analysis and applying sound investment principles, you can obtain insights about the pulse of the STEEM community and probably make better decisions for you in this fast-evolving market. While successful investing relies on a multi-pronged approach, you must grasp the risks that are associated with any investments. Sentiment analysis is a valuable tool, but it should be used alongside:

Fundamental Analysis: Asses the basis of the Steem blockchain and its ecosystem in order to understand its potential of long-term sustainability.
Diversification: Don't have all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your cryptocurrency holdings by investing in several digital coins and other assets to reduce risk.
Risk Management: Forever maintain a thorough risk management strategy to prevent capital losses.

[Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decision.]


References:

1.Cristina Lopez-Gordo et al. (2023). "Sentiment Analysis in Cryptocurrency Social Media." Future Internet, 15(12), 382. [DOI: 10.3390/fi15120382] ([https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.10185](https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.10185))
2.Bojan Petrevski et al. (2024). "Social Media and Cryptocurrency Prices: A Multi-Network Granger Causality Approach." Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 31, 100627. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2023.100627] ([https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022024665](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844022024665))
3.Steemit Inc. (2024). Steem Whitepaper. [https://steem.com/SteemWhitePaper.pdf] (https://steem.com/SteemWhitePaper.pdf)
4.Market Sentiment Analysis Based on Social Media and Trading Volume for Asset Price Movement Prediction (https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-46661-8_26) 5.https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/02663821211058666?journalCode=bira 6.https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0957417422002627 7.https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0952197619301666 8.https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0957417415005126 9.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8053016/ 10.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/21/23/7957

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The Trend Bee.

✍ Originally Posted: Steemit.com

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