Strategies and Tools to make money on Polymarket.
In this article, I will explain the most effective strategies and tools for making money on Polymarket, along with my personal take on each one. I will also discuss which types of users each strategy suits best, so you can decide which approach fits your own Polymarket journey.
So let’s get started!
1. Bonding:
This is the type of trader, that basically bets on already decided outcomes at the 95–99% range or outcomes that he believes they are extremely unlikely or even impossible to happen. For example: In the Mention Market “What will Trump say during Hungary PM events on November 7?“ , if Trump during the speech mentions the word ‘Hottest’, people will open a limit order at 99c to grab all the available liquidity since it’s an already decided outcome and make risk-free some small profit. As you can see in the screenshot below, if we bet $9,900 we are going to make $100 profit.Bonding example in mention markets.
My Rating on Bonding: 4/10 I think this strategy should be used only from really experienced traders. One small mistake, can blow up your entire portfolio and you also need a big starting investment for this to make sense.
2. News Trading:
Some traders sit on live news feeds (Bloomberg terminals, etc.) and wait to be first on breaking headlines. If they react faster than the market, they win big. That’s the strategy of a lot of whales on Polymarket. Example of Polymarket News Trader: Car $695k PnL
https://polymarket.com/0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b
Some free terminals for news trading that I have been using:
- X Pro Decks (available if you are verified on X).
- 2. Betmoar
Betmoar news terminal
My rating on News Trading: 9/10 Probably the safest and most profitable long-term approach, but it’s extremely time intensive. You need to watch the news nonstop, and you may still be late.
3. Copytrading
One of the most common strategies on Polymarket is to just copy trade other good traders. Many people have created bots to follow the bets of good traders and bet immediately after them but you can manually copy trade too. My favorite tool to help you with manual copy trading is @StandDOTtrade. I use this tool too, to get Discord notifications from people that I want to track their wallet.Stand Bot discord notifications for tracked wallets.
My Rating on Copytrading: 5/10 Copytrading is only good if you do your own research too. If you blindly copytrade people it’s probably the worst possible strategy here. Personally, I only track and copytrade accounts where I suspect insider activity ( I always do my own research too).
4. Disputors:
Some traders specialize in disputes on Polymarket. They know the rules inside-out and understand past precedents, so they can predict how a market will resolve when it goes to UMA or awaits a clarification.
You can check Betmoar to find markets that are currently disputed.Betmoar page for currently disputed markets
My rating on Disputors: 8/10. You can make serious money here. There have been plenty of cases where a market was bonded at 99c, got disputed, and flipped all the way down to 0c. However, this needs a lot of a lot of experience and checking precedent, since market’s get clarified based on that.
5. Niche Trading
This is the main strategy that I use. Basically, you just have to find a category on Polymarket and master it, so that you can have an edge over the other traders. For me the category I mastered was Mention Markets. (almost all my profit comes from there). I even made a tool for Mention Markets called @MentionsPro that helps me get an edge. Other examples that I have seen people mastering, could be Box Office, Weather markets, Middle East markets ( @holy_moses7 is the goat there) etc. Polymarket accounts of good niche traders: account for Mention Markets.
https://polymarket.com/profile/0x6770bf688b8121331b1c5cfd7723ebd4152545fb
HolyMoses account for Middle East markets:
https://polymarket.com/profile/0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8
Hans323 account for Weather trading ($69k PnL):
https://polymarket.com/0x0f37cb80dee49d55b5f6d9e595d52591d6371410Mention Markets on Polymarket.
My Rating on Niche Trading: 9.5/10 My favourite strategy on Polymarket because you can make extremely easy profits after you master a category. The only reason I don’t give it a 10/10 is because some categories you may master could have low liquidity, which is slowing a lot your progress.
6. Arbitraging
Arbitraging on Polymarket means taking advantage of price differences between related markets to lock in a small, risk-free profit. When the odds across markets don’t perfectly add up, you can buy and sell “Yes” or “No” shares in a way that guarantees a win no matter what happens.
Many traders also look for arbitrage chances between different prediction markets or even between Polymarket and regular sportsbooks. Odds often vary slightly from one platform to another, especially during big events, so quick traders can bet on both sides and lock in a small profit no matter who wins.
My Rating on Arbitraging: 3/10 Not a big fan of this strategy because it requires a lot of time to find good arb opportunities and even if you find some, the potential profits are usually really low and not worth the effort. If you have a huge bankroll, then this strategy could make a lot more sense.
7. Sniping
I am going to talk only about sniping in Mention Markets and not sniping generally (because this covered in news trading) . Basically, sniping in mention markets is when you buy before anyone else all the liquidity in a bracket, after that has hit. To do this you need some really low latency livestream and fast hands. The GOAT for this strategy is a Polymarket trader called ‘Axios’, you can check his profile HERE. He has $445,000 PnL mostly from sniping in mention markets. Somehow, he manages to clear the liquidity 5–10 seconds before Trump actually says a word in the Youtube livestream. Could he be a White House reporter? I guess we will never know…The GOAT of Mention Markets sniping.
My Rating on Sniping: 10/10 If you manage to find a really low latency stream or actually be live in the speeches so you can snipe before everyone else, it’s a 10/10 strategy since it’s literally free money. That’s all for now. There’s a few more strategies, like LP trading, that I will cover in a future article so stay tuned!
SEE YOU IN THE NEXT ARTICLE!
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