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Fwt4...ZRac
4 Mar 2024
28

The thing is that this when BTC ATH does matter, and it matters a lot it seems. Because if the when is pre-halving this cycle might run very differently than when the when happens post-halving.

Or at least that is what I have been getting from multiple sources.

And that is what worries me.
I messed up last time not trusting in the cycle, and believing that this time we would get an extended. So when people start talking about not following the cycle and possibly a super cycle I get itches.

They can sell the story very well and last time I bought it and expected it to go down to 44K and then up to 100K because of the extended cycle. Now I am not making that mistake again I trust in the cycle.

And if we dontยดt get a BTC ATH pre-halving this cycle is expected to play out as any cycle.
These guys saying this are probably because their TA and knowledge is greater and better than my Baby brain can comprehend. I like to keep it simple, and from the keep it simple perspective we never broke ATH Pre-Halving.

Previously it took at least 100 days after the halving to reach ATH and we would be at least 20% below ATH.
Right now after touching 64K, we would be 3K from the ATH, Calculater says we are only 5% from ATH and have at least 7 weeks to go according to this Calendar.

This is crypto, and that does not mean we are going higher but looking at the ETF in and outflows and the recent ATH in daily inflows it feels that this current force driving the pump will not slow down significantly over those 7 weeks.

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