Solana Price Analysis

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2 Feb 2024
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Solana's Recent market Performance


Solana's native token, SOL, faced a downturn as its tickers registered a notable decrease of 9.8% from Jan. 30 to Feb. 1. Struggling to breach the $104 resistance level, this marked the fifth unsuccessful attempt within a span of four weeks.


Comparative Analysis with Other Cryptocurrencies


Analyzing SOL's performance within a broader context, it becomes evident that over a 30-day period, the token experienced a significant decline of 10.7%. In contrast, popular cryptocurrencies Ether (ETH) and Binance Coin (BNB) demonstrated more modest decreases of 1.2% and 2.6%, respectively, during the same timeframe.


Comparative Analysis with Other Cryptocurrencies


Analyzing SOL's performance within a broader context, it becomes evident that over a 30-day period, the token experienced a significant decline of 10.7%. In contrast, popular cryptocurrencies Ether (ETH) and Binance Coin (BNB) demonstrated more modest decreases of 1.2% and 2.6%, respectively, during the same timeframe.

Behind SOL's Underperformance


Despite Solana boasting robust network fundamentals, investors are grappling with the puzzle of SOL's consistent underperformance. The failure to break above the $104 resistance level and the comparative decline against ETH and BNB prompt questions about the factors influencing SOL's market dynamics.


Market Impact on Solana because of Federal Reserve's Decision


The cryptocurrency market has encountered significant challenges following the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision on Jan. 31 to maintain interest rates at 5.25%. The central bank emphasized a commitment to keeping the target range unchanged until there is "greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%." The change of this outcome could greatly affect the price of Solana and cryptocurrencies in general.


Concerns over U.S. Regional Banks


Investors are expressing apprehension about the potential acceleration of the crisis in U.S. regional banks. These financial institutions are facing substantial pressure, primarily stemming from their fixed-income portfolios, which are yielding below the prevailing interest rate set by the Federal Reserve.

Impact on New York Community Bancorp (NYCB) and Signature Bank


New York Community Bancorp (NYCB), the purchaser of the collapsed crypto-friendly Signature Bank in 2023, has witnessed a substantial decline in shares, plummeting by 42% since Jan. 30. The downturn was exacerbated by a reported $260 million loss in the fourth quarter of 2023. Notably, Signature Bank officially closed its doors in March 2023 and was subsequently taken over by the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS).


Contagion Concerns and Notable Reactions


The contagion risk emanating from the troubles of New York Community Bancorp has captured the attention of traders and investors, including BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes. The market is closely monitoring the unfolding situation, with concerns over the broader impact on financial institutions and the cryptocurrency landscape.


Solana,the $104 Resistance and Market Capitalization

The primary inquiry centers around the significance of the $104 resistance level for Solana, and the answer may extend beyond its own ecosystem. At this threshold, Solana commands a market capitalization of $45 billion, aligning with its direct competitor BNB. However, a deeper examination reveals disparities, with BNB Chain boasting a total value locked (TVL) of $3.54 billion—more than double Solana's $1.6 billion, as reported by DeFiLlama.




Decentralized Applications (DApps) Activity


Solana's decentralized applications (DApps) activity pales in comparison to BNB Chain. Notably, BNB Chain exhibits a significantly larger user base, with its total active addresses engaging with DApps (UAW) reaching 3.3 million in 30 days, surpassing Solana's 2.65 million. Furthermore, BNB Chain's DApps 30-day volume stands at $20.8 billion, presenting a substantial gap when compared to Solana's $2.75 million.


Jupiter (JUP) Airdrop and Recent Success


The recent focus on the Solana network revolves around the Jupiter (JUP) airdrop on Jan. 31, boasting an impressive $800 million market capitalization. The launch of the Jupiter decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator was a triumph, processing millions of transactions seamlessly. Currently, over 438,000 addresses have claimed the JUPITER airdrop, with 9,391 recipients receiving over 5,000 JUP—equivalent to $3,000 at current prices.


Robust Ecosystem Growth Beyond Jupiter


Beyond Jupiter's success, the broader Solana ecosystem has witnessed heightened demand across decentralized exchanges, non-fungible token (NFT) marketplaces like Solanart.io , yield protocols, games, and liquid staking solutions. Notable DApps experiencing substantial user growth include MeanFi, MarginFi, Wormhole, Drift Protocol, Kamino Finance, and Jito. This surge in activity contradicts any indication of weakness in Solana's network.



Prospects of SOLANA Breaking Above $104


The question of SOL breaking above the $104 resistance and surpassing BNB's valuation remains uncertain. Solana must demonstrate its capabilities in terms of total value locked (TVL) and volumes to secure a position among the top three networks. The ongoing growth in the ecosystem, coupled with successful projects like Jupiter, adds a positive outlook, but the outcome remains to be seen. As BULBers we are supportive of SOL as the native token of our blogging platform BULB.io

As a firm believer in the SOLANA blockchain and ecosystem I think that it is safe to say we are sailing in the right ship.

@Litecoinpete

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